There is considerable risk that if Mubarak stays in power or even in the country there could be a covert crackdown on those involved in the demonstrations. The process of building the new government could then be co-opted with political life in Egypt returning to business as usual: intimidation, oppression, and corruption. The turn of events including the violence of the last few days was orchestrated. The spin from state media and the politicians’ statements make it apparent that the government is still up to its old tricks. It is clear that the regime has not changed its behavior in the least and is simply playing a political game to get out of this situation and indeed to turn it in its favor. Trusting dictators is foolhardy… you know what they say: fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me.
The following list is of some of the pieces which do not add up.
Returned about an hour ago from Tahrir square. We were a mixed group of Egyptians and foreigners, while we were told by an army officer near our house that we could not go in, when we tried from the next street we were ushered in with little problem after they were convinced that we were not journalists.
We were met by a friend with koshari to eat (a very typical Egyptian fast food) and everyone was laughing and taking pictures of us seated on the ground eating it because the Egyptian media has been saying that foreigners are instigating the protests and that KFC is feeding the demonstrators… so our “KFC” was a hit. People were all smiles to see us, admittedly a little amazed that we are still here in Cairo, but happy about it. The feeling in Tahrir is that victory is very close. The topics of conversation now are what will happen next: what shape will the government take and which groups will have power? Mubarak leaving is just a matter of time.